KKR Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-30

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
KKR Report Adjusted Net Income (EPS) IN-LINE pred ~$1.44 vs. cons $1.43 MEDIUM
KKR Report Fee Related Earnings / share BEAT pred ~$1.19 vs. cons ~$1.16 MEDIUM
KKR Report Total AUM IN-LINE pred ~$783B vs. cons $788B MEDIUM
KKR Guide FY2026 ANI/share framing (the '$7+' walk-back) LOWER guide ~$6.6 vs. cons ~$6.8 (FY2026) LOW
KKR Guide Forward monetization pipeline (near-term realized carry) BETTER guide ~$1.3B vs. prior $1.2B (next-12-mo pipeline) MEDIUM
KKR Guide Insurance (Global Atlantic) operating earnings run-rate UNKNOWN guide ~$300-330M vs. cons ~$310M (quarterly run-rate) LOW
KKR Guide Q2 fundraising / inflows LOWER guide ~$20B vs. cons ~$28B (2026Q2 raise, pre-signaled slowdown) MEDIUM
KKR Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -2.0% MEDIUM
KKR Return 5-day cumulative residual -3.5% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) KKR rallied ~14% off the late-June low (~$89 to ~$101) and +6% in the last week while the S&P was flat, so a low-bar FRE beat is largely priced in — setting up sell-the-news risk. Reported ANI likely only in-line as pre-signaled soft Q2 monetizations and a slower fundraising quarter cap the headline, and a second trim/soft framing of the full-year '$7+' ANI target (now 'below $7') forces out-period estimate cuts. Downward revisions after an in-line print drive continued idiosyncratic weakness (follow-through), only partly cushioned by cheap valuation, aggressive buybacks and insider buying. LOW