KLAC Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-28

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
KLAC Report Revenue (FQ4'26, June qtr) BEAT pred ~$3.66B vs. cons ~$3.60B MEDIUM
KLAC Report Non-GAAP EPS (FQ4'26) BEAT pred ~$10.20 vs. cons ~$9.90 MEDIUM
KLAC Report Non-GAAP gross margin (FQ4'26) IN-LINE pred ~62.1% vs. cons 61.75% MEDIUM
KLAC Guide Revenue guide (FQ1'27, Sept qtr) BETTER guide ~$3.85B vs. cons ~$3.75B (Sept-2026 qtr) MEDIUM
KLAC Guide Non-GAAP EPS guide (FQ1'27) BETTER guide ~$10.60 vs. cons ~$10.30 (Sept-2026 qtr) MEDIUM
KLAC Guide CY2027 growth framework (WFE/KLA yoy) UNKNOWN guide ~'higher than CY26 high-teens' (i.e. >18%) vs. cons ~15% (CY2027) LOW
KLAC Guide CY2026 gross-margin anchor UNCHANGED guide ~62% ±50bp vs. cons ~62% (CY2026) MEDIUM
KLAC Guide Advanced-packaging process-control revenue BETTER guide ~$1.05B vs. cons ~$1.0B (CY2026) LOW
KLAC Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +3.0% LOW
KLAC Return 5-day cumulative residual +4.5% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) Base case is a beat-and-raise into a stock that already gave back ~a third from its June-30 ($301.71) peak to $203.40, so positioning is de-risked. If the Sept-quarter guide confirms back-half CY26 acceleration and management reiterates/quantifies '2027 > 2026' plus another advanced-packaging up-revision, out-period estimates get revised UP, supporting follow-through. Risk is the nervous AI-capex/China-indigenization tape (TXN-style 'sell the beat'); given extreme realized vol (implied move ~8-10%) both magnitude and direction are low-confidence, and any hedged 2027/China language would flip this to a fade. LOW