KLAC Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-28

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
KLAC Report FQ4 Revenue BEAT pred ~$3.66B vs. cons $3.61B MEDIUM
KLAC Report FQ4 Non-GAAP EPS BEAT pred ~$10.05 vs. cons $9.87 MEDIUM
KLAC Report FQ4 Non-GAAP Gross Margin IN-LINE pred ~61.9% vs. cons 61.75% MEDIUM
KLAC Guide FQ1 FY2027 Revenue Guide BETTER guide ~$3.75B vs. cons $3.70B (Sept-quarter FY2027Q1) MEDIUM
KLAC Guide CY2026 WFE Market Outlook (>$140B) UNCHANGED guide ~$140B+ vs. cons $140B prior commentary (calendar 2026) MEDIUM
KLAC Guide Advanced Packaging Process Control Revenue 2026 BETTER guide ~$1.05B vs. cons/prior $1.0B (calendar 2026) LOW
KLAC Guide CY2026 Non-GAAP Gross Margin Target (~62%) UNCHANGED guide ~62% vs. cons 62% (calendar 2026, ±50bp, ~100bp DRAM headwind) MEDIUM
KLAC Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +4.5% MEDIUM
KLAC Return 5-day cumulative residual +2.0% (FADE) A likely beat-and-reiterate should spark an initial relief rally given the stock's ~33% drawdown from its June peak, but the out-period math (Sept-quarter guide implies deceleration from the seasonally strong sequential ramp, DRAM cost headwind persists, and China indigenous-toolmaker/CXMT competitive risk plus hyperscaler capex jitters remain unresolved) likely causes analysts to trim out-year estimates even after headline upside, fading much of the day-1 pop over the following week as the market re-litigates AI-capex durability across the semicap complex. MEDIUM