LH Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-30

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
LH Report Adjusted EPS (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$4.92 vs. cons $4.79 MEDIUM
LH Report Revenue (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$3.78B vs. cons $3.72B MEDIUM
LH Report Diagnostics organic revenue growth (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~+5.5% vs. cons ~+4.5% LOW
LH Guide FY26 Adjusted EPS guide BETTER guide ~$17.90-$18.55 (mid ~$18.23) vs. cons ~$18.05 (FY2026) MEDIUM
LH Guide FY26 Enterprise revenue guide BETTER guide ~$14.75-$14.95B (mid ~$14.85B) vs. cons ~$14.78B (FY2026) MEDIUM
LH Guide BLS book-to-bill inflection BETTER pred ~1.02 vs. 0.94 prior quarter (Q2 2026) LOW
LH Guide FY26 Free cash flow guide UNCHANGED guide ~$1.24-$1.36B vs. cons ~$1.30B (FY2026) LOW
LH Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -3.0% MEDIUM
LH Return 5-day cumulative residual -5.0% (FADE) LH ripped ~13% in two weeks (and ~+45% off June lows) almost entirely on Quest read-through, so a beat-and-raise is largely priced; realized beta to SPX is ~0 (idiosyncratic move), meaning residual ≈ raw. Even with a clean beat, guide raise quality is modest (Q1 flow-through + FX) and the 2027 PAMA/RESULTS/CRUSH/ACA-subsidy overhang caps upward out-period revisions ahead of the Sept 10 Investor Day. Crowded long unwinds into a 'sell-the-news' — initial day-1 drop extends as estimates stabilize rather than ratchet higher. LOW