LII Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-29

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
LII Report Q2 2026 revenue BEAT pred ~$1.585B vs. cons $1.560B MEDIUM
LII Report Q2 2026 adjusted EPS BEAT pred ~$7.78 vs. cons $7.64 MEDIUM
LII Report Q2 2026 segment margin BEAT pred ~23.1% vs. cons 22.8% LOW
LII Guide FY2026 adjusted EPS guidance midpoint LOWER guide ~$24.25 vs. cons $24.43 (FY2026) HIGH
LII Guide FY2026 revenue growth guidance LOWER guide ~8.0% vs. cons 8.1% (FY2026) MEDIUM
LII Guide FY2026 free cash flow guidance midpoint LOWER guide ~$800M vs. cons $805M (FY2026) MEDIUM
LII Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +3.2% MEDIUM
LII Return 5-day cumulative residual +1.8% (FADE) Day-5 residual ~+1.8% vs. day-1 residual +3.2%: a Q2 beat and improving HCS absorption support the initial gain, but unchanged FY2026 guidance with its ~$24.25 midpoint below the $24.43 consensus limits estimate revisions as tariff and price-cost pressure shifts into Q3 and Q4. MEDIUM