LII Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-29

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
LII Report Adjusted diluted EPS BEAT pred ~$7.68 vs. cons $7.55 MEDIUM
LII Report Revenue BEAT pred ~$1.56B vs. cons $1.53B MEDIUM
LII Report Home Comfort Solutions segment margin MISS pred ~22.8% vs. cons 23.4% MEDIUM
LII Guide FY26 adjusted EPS midpoint UNCHANGED guide ~$24.25 vs. cons $24.30 (FY26) HIGH
LII Guide FY26 revenue growth UNCHANGED guide ~8.0% vs. cons 7.8% (FY26) MEDIUM
LII Guide FY26 free cash flow midpoint UNCHANGED guide ~$800M vs. cons $800M (FY26) MEDIUM
LII Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +2.5% MEDIUM
LII Return 5-day cumulative residual +0.8% (FADE) Day-1 residual ~2.5% should reflect an EPS/revenue beat and continued BCS strength versus a ~0.0% guide-change signal; the 5-day residual moderates to ~0.8% as unchanged FY26 EPS/FCF guidance and a ~60-bp HCS-margin miss leave out-period estimates largely unchanged and keep tariff/price-cost execution risk concentrated in 2H26. MEDIUM