LYB Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-31

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
LYB Report Adjusted EBITDA BEAT pred ~$1.58B vs. cons $1.42B MEDIUM
LYB Report Adjusted diluted EPS BEAT pred ~$2.30 vs. cons $2.05 MEDIUM
LYB Report O&P-Americas EBITDA BEAT pred ~$1.17B vs. cons $1.01B MEDIUM
LYB Guide O&P-Americas utilization / polymer-margin outlook BETTER guide ~90% vs. cons 87% (3Q26) MEDIUM
LYB Guide I&D operating rate following Bayport restart BETTER guide ~90% vs. cons 83% (3Q26) MEDIUM
LYB Guide PE price retention BETTER guide ~$0.45/lb vs. cons $0.35/lb (3Q26) LOW
LYB Guide Cash-improvement program UNCHANGED guide ~$500M vs. cons $500M (FY26) MEDIUM
LYB Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +5.0% MEDIUM
LYB Return 5-day cumulative residual +8.0% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) pred ~+$0.25 adjusted EPS versus cons $2.05 and ~+$0.16B EBITDA versus cons $1.42B should be reinforced by higher 3Q utilization and Bayport-restart math, pulling 2H26 and FY27 estimates upward rather than leaving the beat as a one-quarter price spike. MEDIUM