LYB Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-31

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
LYB Report EBITDA (operating) — Q2 2026 BEAT pred ~$1,900M vs. cons $1,780M (Visible Alpha, 7/29/26) MEDIUM
LYB Report O&P Americas EBITDA — Q2 2026 BEAT pred ~$1,150M vs. cons $1,070M (Visible Alpha, 7/29/26) MEDIUM
LYB Report I&D EBITDA — Q2 2026 MISS pred ~$290M vs. cons $337M (Visible Alpha, 7/29/26) MEDIUM
LYB Guide FY 2026 EBITDA (FY 2026) UNCHANGED guide ~$4.8-5.0B vs. cons $4.998B (Visible Alpha, 7/29/26) MEDIUM
LYB Guide Q3 2026 tone / O&P Americas operating rates (Q3 2026) LOWER guide ~85% utilization and sequential margin decline vs. cons implying ~$1.30B Q3 EBITDA MEDIUM
LYB Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -1.5% MEDIUM
LYB Return 5-day cumulative residual -4.5% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) FOLLOW-THROUGH — sell-side cuts Q3 estimates on implied H2 math; consistent with every beat quarter in LYB 8-quarter history producing negative 5-day residuals MEDIUM