LYV Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-30

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
LYV Report Consolidated AOI BEAT pred ~$855m vs. cons $838m MEDIUM
LYV Report Concerts AOI BEAT pred ~$387m vs. cons $378m MEDIUM
LYV Report Ticketing AOI MISS pred ~$307m vs. cons $315m MEDIUM
LYV Guide FY2026 consolidated AOI growth UNCHANGED guide ~11.0% vs. cons 10.8% (FY2026) HIGH
LYV Guide FY2026 Ticketing AOI margin LOWER guide ~34.5% vs. cons 35.0% (FY2026) MEDIUM
LYV Guide FY2026 capital expenditures UNCHANGED guide ~$1.15bn vs. cons $1.14bn (FY2026) HIGH
LYV Guide Concerts fan-growth cadence BETTER guide ~70% of amphitheater growth in Q3 vs. cons 60% (2H2026) MEDIUM
LYV Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +2.5% MEDIUM
LYV Return 5-day cumulative residual +1.0% (STABILIZE) A consolidated-AOI beat of ~$17m versus consensus is likely offset by an estimated ~$8m Ticketing-AOI miss and essentially unchanged FY2026 AOI growth of ~11.0% versus ~10.8% consensus. The report supports the Q3-weighted earnings setup but does not create enough out-period upside for material estimate revisions. MEDIUM