MA Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-30

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
MA Report Q2 2026 net revenue BEAT pred ~$9.18B vs. cons $9.07B MEDIUM
MA Report Q2 2026 adjusted EPS BEAT pred ~$4.89 vs. cons $4.77 MEDIUM
MA Report Q2 2026 cross-border volume growth IN-LINE pred ~11.0% vs. cons 11.0% LOW
MA Guide Currency-neutral net revenue growth LOWER guide ~11.0% vs. cons 11.3% (Q3 2026) MEDIUM
MA Guide Currency-neutral net revenue growth BETTER guide ~11.5% vs. cons 11.4% (FY2026) MEDIUM
MA Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +1.6% MEDIUM
MA Return 5-day cumulative residual +0.4% (FADE) The Q2 revenue and EPS beats should support the initial move, but guide ~11.0% versus consensus 11.3% Q3 currency-neutral revenue growth implies softer out-period math; estimate revisions should therefore capture only part of the day-1 gain despite FY2026 guidance of ~11.5% versus consensus 11.4%. MEDIUM