MA Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-30

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
MA Report Net revenue IN-LINE pred ~$9.13B vs. cons $9.076B MEDIUM
MA Report Adjusted diluted EPS IN-LINE pred ~$4.81 vs. cons $4.771 MEDIUM
MA Report Cross-border volume growth BEAT pred ~12.5% vs. cons 10.9% MEDIUM
MA Guide Q3 revenue growth (currency-neutral) UNCHANGED guide ~low-teens vs. 12.2% reported-revenue consensus; UNVERIFIED basis match LOW
MA Guide FY26 revenue growth (currency-neutral) UNCHANGED guide ~high end of low-double-digits vs. $37.129B reported-revenue consensus; UNVERIFIED basis match LOW
MA Guide Cross-border/travel recovery commentary UNCHANGED guide ~recovery consistent with prior Q2-contained disruption MEDIUM
MA Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -1.5% LOW
MA Return 5-day cumulative residual -2.0% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) FOLLOW-THROUGH — no FY estimate catalyst after a strong run LOW