MAA Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-29

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
MAA Report 2Q26 Core FFO per share IN-LINE pred ~$2.10 vs. cons $2.08 MEDIUM
MAA Report 2Q26 blended lease-rate growth BEAT pred ~1.0% vs. cons 0.8% MEDIUM
MAA Report 2Q26 same-store revenue growth BEAT pred ~0.1% vs. cons 0.0% MEDIUM
MAA Guide Core FFO per share LOWER guide ~$2.12 vs. cons $2.13 (3Q26) MEDIUM
MAA Guide Core FFO per share UNCHANGED guide ~$8.53 vs. cons $8.53 (FY26) HIGH
MAA Guide Same-store revenue growth UNCHANGED guide ~0.55% vs. cons 0.55% (FY26) MEDIUM
MAA Guide Blended lease-rate growth UNCHANGED guide ~1.25% vs. cons 1.25% (FY26) MEDIUM
MAA Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +1.8% MEDIUM
MAA Return 5-day cumulative residual +1.1% (STABILIZE) A ~$2.10 result vs. $2.08 consensus and better leasing should support day 1, but an approximately $2.12 3Q26 guide vs. $2.13 consensus leaves FY26 guidance near $8.53 vs. $8.53 consensus and limits upward estimate revisions. MEDIUM