MAA Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-29

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
MAA Report Core FFO per share (Q2 2026) IN-LINE pred ~$2.09 vs. cons $2.075 MEDIUM
MAA Report Same-Store Revenue Growth YoY (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~+0.3% vs. cons -0.002% MEDIUM
MAA Report Blended Lease Rate (Q2 2026) IN-LINE pred ~+0.9% vs. cons +0.87% MEDIUM
MAA Guide Core FFO per share (FY 2026) UNCHANGED guide ~$8.53 midpoint maintained vs. cons $8.502 HIGH
MAA Guide SS Revenue Growth (FY 2026) BETTER guide ~+0.60% vs. cons +0.23% MEDIUM
MAA Guide New Lease Rate Trajectory (Qualitative, Q3 2026 direction) BETTER July new leases approaching -3% to -4%, improving from Q2 vs. implied -5% consensus MEDIUM
MAA Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +0.8% MEDIUM
MAA Return 5-day cumulative residual +1.5% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) FOLLOW-THROUGH — modest upward SS revenue estimate revisions drive continued bid; FY FFO maintained limits magnitude MEDIUM