MAA Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-29

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
MAA Report Core FFO / share BEAT pred ~$2.10 vs. cons $2.075 MEDIUM
MAA Report Blended lease-rate growth BEAT pred ~+1.10% vs. cons +0.87% MEDIUM
MAA Report Same-store NOI growth BEAT pred ~-1.35% vs. cons -1.53% MEDIUM
MAA Guide 3Q26 Core FFO / share UNCHANGED guide ~$2.11 vs. cons $2.112 MEDIUM
MAA Guide FY26 Core FFO / share UNCHANGED guide $8.37-$8.69 vs. cons $8.502 MEDIUM
MAA Guide FY26 same-store NOI growth UNCHANGED guide -1.70%-0.30% vs. cons -1.08% MEDIUM
MAA Guide 2H26 leasing commentary BETTER improving new leases and concession burn-off; cons UNVERIFIED LOW
MAA Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -0.5% LOW
MAA Return 5-day cumulative residual -1.0% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) FOLLOW-THROUGH — no FY estimate unlock LOW