MDLZ Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-28

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
MDLZ Report Adjusted EPS BEAT pred ~$0.69 vs. cons $0.68 MEDIUM
MDLZ Report Organic net revenue growth IN-LINE pred ~1.0% vs. cons 1.0% MEDIUM
MDLZ Report Adjusted operating margin MISS pred ~14.3% vs. cons 14.7% MEDIUM
MDLZ Guide FY2026 organic net revenue growth UNCHANGED guide ~0% to +2% vs. cons +1.0% (FY2026) HIGH
MDLZ Guide FY2026 constant-currency adjusted EPS growth UNCHANGED guide ~0% to +5% vs. cons +2.5% (FY2026) HIGH
MDLZ Guide FY2026 free cash flow UNCHANGED guide ~$3.0B vs. cons ~$3.0B (FY2026) MEDIUM
MDLZ Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -3.0% MEDIUM
MDLZ Return 5-day cumulative residual -4.5% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) A small EPS beat is likely to be outweighed by a margin shortfall and unchanged FY2026 framework: implied second-half earnings recovery remains dependent on delayed cocoa-cost relief, while incremental brand investment and freight/other-cost pressure limit upside. That leaves out-period margin and EPS expectations vulnerable to downward revisions. MEDIUM