META Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-29

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
META Report Total revenue BEAT pred ~$61.3B vs. cons $60.2B MEDIUM
META Report Diluted EPS IN-LINE pred ~$7.20 vs. cons $7.14 MEDIUM
META Report Family of Apps advertising revenue BEAT pred ~$60.1B vs. cons $59.4B MEDIUM
META Guide Q3 2026 total-revenue guidance BETTER guide ~$66.1B vs. cons $65.2B (Q3 2026) MEDIUM
META Guide FY2026 capital-expenditure outlook, including finance leases LOWER guide ~$150B vs. cons $145B (FY 2026) HIGH
META Guide FY2026 total-expense outlook LOWER guide ~$171B vs. cons $168B (FY 2026) MEDIUM
META Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -5.5% MEDIUM
META Return 5-day cumulative residual -8.0% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) Day-1 residual ~-5.5% versus 5-day cumulative residual ~-8.0%: a revenue beat and above-consensus Q3 guide are likely outweighed by FY2026 CapEx of ~$150B versus ~$145B consensus and expenses of ~$171B versus ~$168B consensus, pulling 2027 free-cash-flow and EPS assumptions lower. MEDIUM