META Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-29

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
META Report Revenue (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$61.0B vs. cons $60.23B MEDIUM
META Report Avg Price Per Ad YoY Growth (Q2 2026) MISS pred ~+11% vs. cons +12.7% MEDIUM
META Report Capex incl. finance leases (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$34.5B vs. cons $33.3B MEDIUM
META Guide Revenue (Q3 2026) UNCHANGED guide ~$65B midpoint vs. cons ~$65-66B implied MEDIUM
META Guide Capex incl. finance leases (FY2026) UNCHANGED guide ~$130-150B ($140B mid) vs. cons $139.4B MEDIUM
META Guide Total Expenses (FY2026) UNCHANGED guide ~$162-169B (reaffirm) vs. cons ~$165B implied HIGH
META Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -6.0% MEDIUM
META Return 5-day cumulative residual -8.0% (STABILIZE) STABILIZE — short covering provides brief floor post-selloff, then FCF estimate cuts resume downward drift MEDIUM