MGM Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-28

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
MGM Report Las Vegas Strip EBITDAR (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$745M vs. cons $719.5M MEDIUM
MGM Report BetMGM EBITDA (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$80M vs. cons $73.9M MEDIUM
MGM Report MGM China Revenue (Q2 2026) MISS pred ~$1,110M vs. cons $1,129M MEDIUM
MGM Guide FY2026 Adj. EBITDA (FY2026) UNCHANGED guide reaffirm ~$2.31-2.35B vs. cons $2.315B HIGH
MGM Guide Las Vegas FY tone (FY2026) UNCHANGED reaffirm 'growth through balance of year, tempered modestly' vs. cons $8.50B LV rev HIGH
MGM Guide BetMGM FY EBITDA (FY2026) UNCHANGED reaffirm/modest raise ~$260-270M vs. cons $259M MEDIUM
MGM Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +1.0% MEDIUM
MGM Return 5-day cumulative residual -1.5% (FADE) FADE — implicit H2 EBITDA cut pulls estimates lower post-print; BetMGM cash generation partially offsets MEDIUM