MGM Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-28

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
MGM Report Consolidated adjusted EBITDA BEAT pred ~$635M vs. cons $623.1M MEDIUM
MGM Report Las Vegas property EBITDAR IN-LINE pred ~$725M vs. cons $719.5M MEDIUM
MGM Report MGM China property EBITDAR MISS pred ~$272M vs. cons $278.0M MEDIUM
MGM Guide Las Vegas EBITDA outlook (FY26) UNCHANGED reiterate growth; implied ~$2.81B vs. cons $2.807B MEDIUM
MGM Guide MGM China margin outlook (FY26) UNCHANGED reiterate mid-20s margin; consensus UNVERIFIED LOW
MGM Guide MGM Digital / BetMGM profitability commentary (FY26) UNCHANGED reiterate narrower losses / returns focus; consensus UNVERIFIED LOW
MGM Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -2.0% LOW
MGM Return 5-day cumulative residual -3.0% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) FOLLOW-THROUGH — Macau miss pressures forward estimates LOW