MLM Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-30

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
MLM Report Adjusted EPS BEAT pred ~$5.15 vs. cons $5.00 MEDIUM
MLM Report Revenue BEAT pred ~$1.91bn vs. cons $1.89bn MEDIUM
MLM Report Adjusted EBITDA BEAT pred ~$650m vs. cons $637m MEDIUM
MLM Guide FY2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance BETTER guide ~$2.48bn vs. cons $2.42bn (FY2026) MEDIUM
MLM Guide FY2026 revenue guidance BETTER guide ~$7.24bn vs. cons $7.12bn (FY2026) MEDIUM
MLM Guide FY2026 organic aggregates volume growth guidance BETTER guide ~3.0% vs. cons 2.0% (FY2026) LOW
MLM Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +3.5% MEDIUM
MLM Return 5-day cumulative residual +5.0% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) FY2026 EBITDA guide of ~$2.48bn versus ~$2.42bn consensus implies upward out-period EBITDA and EPS revisions, while a ~$650m EBITDA print versus ~$637m consensus validates volume, pricing, and acquired-asset contribution despite fuel and purchase-accounting noise. MEDIUM