MLM Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-30

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
MLM Report Adj. EBITDA (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$645M vs. cons $626M MEDIUM
MLM Report Aggregates Volume (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~60.5M tons vs. cons 59.6M tons MEDIUM
MLM Report Aggregates ASP (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$23.85/ton vs. cons $23.62/ton MEDIUM
MLM Guide FY 2026 Adj. EBITDA cont. ops (FY 2026) BETTER guide ~$2.50B midpoint vs. cons $2.411B MEDIUM
MLM Guide FY 2026 Aggregates Volume (FY 2026) BETTER guide to high end ~3% vs. cons 223.8M tons MEDIUM
MLM Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +2.0% MEDIUM
MLM Return 5-day cumulative residual +3.5% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) FOLLOW-THROUGH — estimate upgrades on H2 out-period math improvement (~$70M H2 consensus lift); Lhoist overhang limits but does not reverse the move MEDIUM