MO Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-30

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
MO Report Adj. Diluted EPS (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$1.53 vs. cons $1.495 MEDIUM
MO Report Smokeable Net Revenue (Q2 2026) IN-LINE pred ~$4.65B vs. cons $4.624B MEDIUM
MO Report Smokeable OCI Margin (Q2 2026) IN-LINE pred ~65.3% vs. cons ~64.9% MEDIUM
MO Guide FY 2026 Adj. EPS (FY 2026) LOWER guide midpoint ~$5.64 vs. cons $5.715 MEDIUM
MO Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -2.5% MEDIUM
MO Return 5-day cumulative residual -3.5% (FADE) FADE — implied H2 cut pulls estimates lower post-print; DTC bid fades after day 1 MEDIUM