MO Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-30

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
MO Report Adjusted diluted EPS BEAT pred ~$1.52 vs. cons $1.495 MEDIUM
MO Report Smokeable cigarette sticks IN-LINE pred ~15.05bn vs. cons 15.15bn MEDIUM
MO Report Marlboro retail share IN-LINE pred ~38.9% vs. cons 39.06% LOW
MO Guide FY2026 adjusted diluted EPS (FY2026) LOWER guide ~$5.56-$5.72; midpoint $5.64 vs. cons $5.715 MEDIUM
MO Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +5.0% LOW
MO Return 5-day cumulative residual +3.5% (FADE) FADE — positive print but forward bar remains unresolved LOW