{
  "report_rows": [
    {
      "kpi": "Adjusted diluted EPS",
      "prediction": "BEAT",
      "answer": "pred ~$1.52 vs. cons $1.495",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "Smokeable cigarette sticks",
      "prediction": "IN-LINE",
      "answer": "pred ~15.05bn vs. cons 15.15bn",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "Marlboro retail share",
      "prediction": "IN-LINE",
      "answer": "pred ~38.9% vs. cons 39.06%",
      "confidence": "LOW"
    }
  ],
  "guide_rows": [
    {
      "kpi": "FY2026 adjusted diluted EPS (FY2026)",
      "prediction": "LOWER",
      "answer": "guide ~$5.56-$5.72; midpoint $5.64 vs. cons $5.715",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    }
  ],
  "day1_residual_pct": 5.0,
  "day1_confidence": "LOW",
  "day5_residual_pct": 3.5,
  "day5_path": "FADE",
  "day5_rationale": "FADE \u2014 positive print but forward bar remains unresolved",
  "day5_confidence": "LOW"
}