MPWR Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-30

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
MPWR Report Revenue BEAT pred ~$916M vs. cons ~$904M MEDIUM
MPWR Report Non-GAAP EPS BEAT pred ~$5.98 vs. cons ~$5.88 MEDIUM
MPWR Report Non-GAAP Gross Margin IN-LINE pred ~55.7% vs. cons ~55.6% MEDIUM
MPWR Guide Q3'26 Revenue guide (midpoint) BETTER guide ~$965M vs. cons ~$945M (Q3'26) MEDIUM
MPWR Guide Q3'26 Non-GAAP Gross Margin guide LOWER guide ~55.4% vs. cons ~55.8% (Q3'26, 2H caution) MEDIUM
MPWR Guide FY26 Enterprise Data/AI growth floor BETTER guide ~90%+ vs. prior ~85% (FY26 AI YoY) MEDIUM
MPWR Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +4.5% MEDIUM
MPWR Return 5-day cumulative residual +6.0% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) Stock has already de-rated ~24% off June highs, so bar is lowered; a beat with another AI/Enterprise Data floor raise and above-consensus Q3 revenue guide should drive positive upward revisions to out-period AI content estimates, giving momentum follow-through in a strong AI-power tape. Main offset is the telegraphed 2H gross-margin caution capping the multiple, so gains are modest rather than explosive. LOW