MRNA Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-31

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
MRNA Report Q2 2026 revenue BEAT pred ~$108M vs. cons $103.07M MEDIUM
MRNA Report Q2 2026 GAAP EPS BEAT pred ~$(1.92) vs. cons $(2.03) MEDIUM
MRNA Report Q2 2026 cash and investments IN-LINE pred ~$6.82B vs. cons $6.85B LOW
MRNA Guide Total revenue BETTER guide ~$2.14B vs. cons $2.09B (FY2026) MEDIUM
MRNA Guide Year-end cash and investments UNCHANGED guide midpoint ~$4.75B vs. cons $4.75B (FY2026) MEDIUM
MRNA Guide R&D expense UNCHANGED guide ~$3.00B vs. cons $3.00B (FY2026) MEDIUM
MRNA Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +2.8% MEDIUM
MRNA Return 5-day cumulative residual +6.5% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) FY2026 revenue guide of ~$2.14B versus ~$2.09B consensus and preserved cash guidance should limit estimate cuts; an on-time August 5 flu-vaccine decision can lift 2027 estimates, extending the residual from ~+2.8% on day 1 to ~+6.5% by day 5. LOW