MSFT Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-29

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
MSFT Report Azure CC Growth (Q4 FY26) BEAT pred ~41% vs. cons 39.7% (Visible Alpha, Jul 28 2026) HIGH
MSFT Report Operating EPS (Q4 FY26) BEAT pred ~$4.35 vs. cons $4.26 (Visible Alpha, Jul 28 2026) HIGH
MSFT Report CapEx incl. leases (Q4 FY26) BEAT pred ~$43-44B vs. cons $42.4B (Visible Alpha, Jul 28 2026) — above cons, negative signal MEDIUM
MSFT Guide Azure CC Growth (Q1 FY27) BETTER guide ~40-42% vs. cons ~40.5% (Visible Alpha FY27 implied) MEDIUM
MSFT Guide FY2027 Revenue/OI Growth BETTER guide ~15%+ vs. cons ~14% implied (Visible Alpha, Jul 28 2026) MEDIUM
MSFT Guide CapEx Q1 FY2027 UNCHANGED guide ~$44-46B vs. cons ~$46B (Visible Alpha FY27 implied) MEDIUM
MSFT Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -2.0% MEDIUM
MSFT Return 5-day cumulative residual -3.5% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) FOLLOW-THROUGH — CapEx overage drives modest sell-side estimate cuts; Azure beat partially absorbed but CapEx concern lingers into the week as models are revised MEDIUM