MSFT Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-29

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
MSFT Report Revenue IN-LINE pred ~$88.30B vs. cons $87.71B MEDIUM
MSFT Report Azure CC growth BEAT pred ~40.2% vs. cons 39.73% MEDIUM
MSFT Report Capex incl. finance leases BEAT pred ~$42.9B vs. cons $42.37B MEDIUM
MSFT Guide Q1 FY27 revenue UNCHANGED guide midpoint ~$89.6B vs. cons $89.97B MEDIUM
MSFT Guide Q1 FY27 Azure CC growth LOWER guide ~40.0% vs. cons 40.92% MEDIUM
MSFT Guide Calendar-2026 CapEx UNCHANGED reiterate roughly $190B vs. cons UNVERIFIED LOW
MSFT Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -2.5% MEDIUM
MSFT Return 5-day cumulative residual -3.0% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) FOLLOW-THROUGH — lower Q1 Azure guide drives estimate pressure MEDIUM