MTD Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-30

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
MTD Report Adjusted EPS (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$10.95 vs. cons $10.79 MEDIUM
MTD Report Net sales, reported USD (Q2 2026) IN-LINE pred ~$1.035B vs. cons $1.03B MEDIUM
MTD Report Adjusted operating margin (Q2 2026) IN-LINE pred ~27.5% vs. cons ~27.6% LOW
MTD Guide Q3 2026 local-currency sales growth guide BETTER guide ~4% vs. cons ~3.3% (Q3 2026) LOW
MTD Guide Q3 2026 Adjusted EPS guide BETTER guide ~$11.10 vs. cons ~$10.95 (Q3 2026) LOW
MTD Guide FY2026 Adjusted EPS guidance range BETTER guide ~$46.60-$47.20 vs. cons ~$46.55 (FY2026) MEDIUM
MTD Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -3.0% LOW
MTD Return 5-day cumulative residual -3.5% (STABILIZE) Stock has already rallied ~35% off the May low and sits back above most sell-side price targets, so a modest EPS beat with in-line revenue/margin and only incremental Q3/FY raises (not a blowout) likely triggers 'sell the news' profit-taking rather than fresh buying, but because guidance is being raised (not cut) there's no implicit out-period estimate-cut dynamic to drive a bigger post-print fade; absent a new catalyst before Q3 results, the initial reaction should mostly hold over the following days with only slight incremental drift rather than a strong follow-through selloff or a reversal/rebound. LOW