MTD Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-30

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
MTD Report Adj. EPS (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$11.00 vs. cons $10.81 MEDIUM
MTD Report Net Sales (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$1,045M vs. cons $1,029.7M MEDIUM
MTD Report Organic Growth % (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~+2.5-3.0% vs. cons +2.0% MEDIUM
MTD Guide Q3 2026 Adj. EPS (Q3 2026) BETTER guide ~$12.30 mid vs. cons $12.14 MEDIUM
MTD Guide FY 2026 Adj. EPS (FY 2026) BETTER guide ~$47.30 mid vs. cons $46.72 MEDIUM
MTD Guide FY 2026 LC Sales Growth (FY 2026) UNCHANGED guide ~4% maintained vs. cons ~4% HIGH
MTD Guide H2 Demand Tone / Tariff Refund (H2 2026) BETTER more constructive tone; tariff refund optionality flagged as upside MEDIUM
MTD Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +1.0% MEDIUM
MTD Return 5-day cumulative residual +2.5% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) FOLLOW-THROUGH — sell-side revisions chase implied H2 math upward as FY raise is real MEDIUM