NCLH Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-30

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
NCLH Report Adjusted EPS BEAT pred ~$0.40 vs. cons $0.38 MEDIUM
NCLH Report Adjusted EBITDA BEAT pred ~$646m vs. cons $632m MEDIUM
NCLH Report Constant-currency Net Yield growth BEAT pred ~(3.0%) vs. cons ~(3.6%) MEDIUM
NCLH Guide 3Q26 constant-currency Net Yield growth LOWER guide ~(8.0%) vs. cons ~(7.0%) (3Q26) MEDIUM
NCLH Guide FY26 Adjusted EBITDA UNCHANGED guide ~$2.56bn vs. cons $2.55bn (FY26) MEDIUM
NCLH Guide FY26 Adjusted EPS BETTER guide ~$1.62 vs. cons $1.60 (FY26) LOW
NCLH Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -6.5% MEDIUM
NCLH Return 5-day cumulative residual -10.5% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) A modest 2Q beat of ~$0.02 versus consensus ~$0.38 is outweighed by a roughly 100-bp worse 3Q yield setup, ~(-8.0%) versus ~(-7.0%) expected; that out-period revenue risk implies FY26/FY27 estimate cuts despite FY26 EBITDA guidance of ~$2.56bn versus ~$2.55bn consensus. MEDIUM