ODFL Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-29

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
ODFL Report Diluted EPS BEAT pred ~$1.43 vs. cons $1.37 MEDIUM
ODFL Report Revenue BEAT pred ~$1.55B vs. cons $1.51B MEDIUM
ODFL Report Operating ratio IN-LINE pred ~72.8% vs. cons 72.9% MEDIUM
ODFL Guide July revenue per day growth commentary BETTER guide ~+8.0% vs. cons +7.0% (July 2026) LOW
ODFL Guide 2H26 LTL tons per day inflection commentary LOWER guide ~+1.0% vs. cons +2.0% (2H26) MEDIUM
ODFL Guide Ex-fuel revenue per hundredweight BETTER guide ~+4.5% vs. cons +4.0% (3Q26) MEDIUM
ODFL Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +1.5% MEDIUM
ODFL Return 5-day cumulative residual +0.5% (FADE) A modest EPS/revenue beat and sustained yield should initially support the shares, but an only-gradual volume inflection (~+1.0% 2H26 versus ~+2.0% expected) leaves 3Q/2027 density and margin math below expectations; the ~+1.5% day-1 residual is therefore likely to compress toward ~+0.5% by day 5. MEDIUM