ODFL Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-29

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
ODFL Report Operating Ratio (%) IN-LINE pred ~72.0% vs. cons 72.40% MEDIUM
ODFL Report LTL Tonnage/Day (KTons) BEAT pred ~32,200 vs. cons 31,821 MEDIUM
ODFL Report EPS-Diluted Operating ($) BEAT pred ~$1.60 vs. cons $1.550 MEDIUM
ODFL Guide OR Q3 2026 (qualitative) BETTER guide ~72.75% vs. cons 73.5% MEDIUM
ODFL Guide Rev/CWT ex-fuel Q3 2026 UNCHANGED guide ~4%-4.5% vs. cons ~4%-4.5% HIGH
ODFL Guide Volume trajectory July MTD UNCHANGED guide ~+2%-4% YoY tons vs. cons ~+3%-4% LOW
ODFL Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +3.0% MEDIUM
ODFL Return 5-day cumulative residual +5.0% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) FOLLOW-THROUGH — sell-side revisions to Q3/FY 2026 EPS extend the initial move as the truckload-to-LTL conversion thesis gets quantified in models MEDIUM