OKE Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-03

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
OKE Report Diluted EPS BEAT pred ~$1.50 vs. cons $1.46 MEDIUM
OKE Report Adjusted EBITDA BEAT pred ~$2.11B vs. cons $2.08B MEDIUM
OKE Report Natural Gas Pipelines adjusted EBITDA BEAT pred ~$0.36B vs. cons $0.35B MEDIUM
OKE Guide 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance LOWER guide ~$8.25B vs. cons $8.33B (FY2026) HIGH
OKE Guide 2026 diluted EPS guidance LOWER guide ~$5.53 vs. cons $5.64 (FY2026) MEDIUM
OKE Guide 2026 capital-expenditure guidance UNCHANGED guide ~$2.95B vs. cons $2.95B (FY2026) HIGH
OKE Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +1.5% MEDIUM
OKE Return 5-day cumulative residual +0.5% (FADE) Day-1 residual ~+1.5% vs. 0.0% baseline; 5-day residual ~+0.5% vs. 0.0% baseline. A modest EBITDA/EPS beat should initially reward sustained Waha-to-Katy optimization and broad volumes, but unchanged $8.25B FY2026 EBITDA guidance versus ~$8.33B consensus leaves out-period estimates vulnerable as investors continue to discount temporary spread earnings and normalize second-half pipeline optimization. MEDIUM