ON Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-03

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
ON Report Q2 revenue IN-LINE pred ~$1.605B vs. cons $1.590B MEDIUM
ON Report Q2 non-GAAP gross margin BEAT pred ~39.5% vs. cons 39.0% MEDIUM
ON Report Q2 non-GAAP EPS BEAT pred ~$0.73 vs. cons $0.71 MEDIUM
ON Guide Q3 revenue guidance midpoint UNCHANGED guide ~$1.66B vs. cons $1.65B (2026 Q3) MEDIUM
ON Guide Q3 non-GAAP gross-margin guidance midpoint BETTER guide ~40.4% vs. cons 40.0% (2026 Q3) LOW
ON Guide Q3 non-GAAP EPS guidance midpoint BETTER guide ~$0.85 vs. cons $0.83 (2026 Q3) LOW
ON Guide AI data-center revenue outlook UNCHANGED guide ~$500M vs. cons ~$500M (full-year 2026) MEDIUM
ON Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +3.5% MEDIUM
ON Return 5-day cumulative residual +2.0% (STABILIZE) A modest Q2 margin/EPS beat and slightly constructive Q3 profitability guide should support the initial reaction, but Q3 revenue near consensus implies limited out-period estimate revisions; Synaptics dilution and integration concerns should cap follow-through. MEDIUM