ORLY Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-29

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
ORLY Report Q2 2026 Comparable Store Sales IN-LINE pred ~4.3% vs. cons ~4.5% MEDIUM
ORLY Report Q2 2026 Total Revenue MISS pred ~$4.80B vs. cons ~$4.85B MEDIUM
ORLY Report Q2 2026 Diluted EPS BEAT pred ~$0.87 vs. cons ~$0.85 MEDIUM
ORLY Guide FY2026 EPS Guidance LOWER guide ~$3.15-3.25 (midpoint ~$3.20) vs. cons ~$3.24 (FY2026) MEDIUM
ORLY Guide FY2026 Comparable Store Sales Guidance UNCHANGED guide ~3%-5% (midpoint ~4.0%) vs. cons ~4.5% embedded (FY2026) MEDIUM
ORLY Guide FY2026 Operating Margin Guidance UNCHANGED guide ~19.3%-19.8% (midpoint ~19.55%) vs. cons ~19.6% (FY2026) MEDIUM
ORLY Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -1.5% MEDIUM
ORLY Return 5-day cumulative residual -1.0% (STABILIZE) Comp/revenue likely undershoot slightly on tougher compare and fuel-price consumer pressure while EPS beats on cost discipline/buybacks, producing offsetting cross-currents; full-year guidance is reiterated rather than raised or cut, removing a clear catalyst for large estimate revisions either way. With no fresh NAPA/GPC deal confirmation expected (management likely declines comment), the dominant swing factor for the stock over the next week remains M&A headline flow rather than the print itself, so the initial modest negative reaction is likely to hold roughly in place rather than extend sharply or reverse. LOW