ORLY Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-29

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
ORLY Report Comparable-store sales growth BEAT pred ~5.8% vs. cons 5.5% MEDIUM
ORLY Report Diluted EPS BEAT pred ~$0.88 vs. cons $0.86 MEDIUM
ORLY Report Revenue IN-LINE pred ~$4.98B vs. cons $4.96B MEDIUM
ORLY Guide Comparable-store sales growth LOWER guide midpoint ~4.5% (range 4.0%-5.0%) vs. cons 4.9% (FY2026) MEDIUM
ORLY Guide Diluted EPS LOWER guide midpoint ~$3.25 (range $3.20-$3.30) vs. cons $3.26 (FY2026) MEDIUM
ORLY Guide Revenue BETTER guide midpoint ~$18.98B (range $18.85B-$19.10B) vs. cons $18.95B (FY2026) LOW
ORLY Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +2.2% MEDIUM
ORLY Return 5-day cumulative residual +0.8% (FADE) A comp-led beat supports the initial gain, but FY2026 EPS guidance midpoint of ~$3.25 vs. consensus $3.26 implies second-half EPS of only ~$1.65 vs. consensus near $1.66, limiting upward revisions and causing part of the day-1 move to fade. MEDIUM