PCAR Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-28

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
PCAR Report Adjusted EPS BEAT pred ~$1.38 vs. cons $1.33 MEDIUM
PCAR Report Truck segment (Truck/Parts/Other) gross margin BEAT pred ~13.9% vs. cons/guide 13.5% MEDIUM
PCAR Report Total revenue BEAT pred ~$7.3B vs. cons $7.1B MEDIUM
PCAR Guide FY2026 NA/EU Class 8 market outlook (units) BETTER guide ~250k-270k (US/Can) vs. prior guide/cons midpoint of 230k-270k (FY2026) MEDIUM
PCAR Guide FY2026 consensus EPS BETTER guide/implied ~$5.70 vs. cons $5.56 (FY2026) MEDIUM
PCAR Guide Parts revenue growth guide UNCHANGED guide ~4-5% vs. cons 3-6% full-year range (FY2026) LOW
PCAR Guide Q3 deliveries/build rate commentary BETTER guide ~38k-40k trucks vs. cons ~37k implied run-rate (Q3 2026) LOW
PCAR Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +1.2% MEDIUM
PCAR Return 5-day cumulative residual -0.8% (FADE) Much of the beat-and-raise (order surge, tariff advantage, margin recovery) is already priced in after a 22% run into the print with a Hold-consensus/wide target dispersion; initial pop likely fades as investors weigh 2027 pre-buy-vs-sustainable-demand debate, Financial Services credit deterioration (Brazil, one large US fleet), and the fact that full-year guide ranges (Class 8 market, Parts growth) were largely already known before the print, limiting incremental upward estimate revisions beyond the initial beat. LOW