PLTR Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-03

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
PLTR Report Q2'26 Total Revenue BEAT pred ~$1.835B vs. cons $1.799B (company guide $1.797-1.801B) HIGH
PLTR Report Q2'26 US Commercial Revenue Growth y/y BEAT pred ~128% vs. cons ~120% y/y growth MEDIUM
PLTR Report Q2'26 Adjusted Operating Margin BEAT pred ~61.5% vs. cons ~60% (company guide implies ~59-60%) MEDIUM
PLTR Guide FY2026 Revenue Guidance BETTER guide ~$7.85B vs. cons ~$7.72B (prior guide $7.650-7.662B) (FY2026) HIGH
PLTR Guide Q3 2026 Revenue Guidance BETTER guide ~$1.95B vs. cons ~$1.90B (Q3 2026) MEDIUM
PLTR Guide FY2026 Adjusted Operating Income Guidance BETTER guide ~$4.75B vs. cons ~$4.55B (FY2026) MEDIUM
PLTR Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +5.5% MEDIUM
PLTR Return 5-day cumulative residual +2.5% (FADE) Beat-and-raise is the base case already partly priced in after the Nvidia-driven bounce off the June low, so the initial pop should be real but capped; over the following days, the magnitude of the FY26 raise (likely smaller in points than the unusually large prior-quarter 10pt raise) implies decelerating out-quarter growth math, and lingering valuation (~38-40x revenue), political/appropriations overhang, and European sovereignty-contract noise (France DGSI) give bears reason to fade strength and trim estimates for H2/2027, pulling back part of the day-1 gain even though the headline quarter beats. MEDIUM