PLTR Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-03

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
PLTR Report Q2 2026 revenue BEAT pred ~$1.90B vs. cons $1.81B MEDIUM
PLTR Report Q2 2026 adjusted operating income BEAT pred ~$1.16B vs. cons $1.09B MEDIUM
PLTR Report Q2 2026 adjusted diluted EPS BEAT pred ~$0.37 vs. cons $0.35 MEDIUM
PLTR Guide Revenue guidance BETTER guide ~$2.12B vs. cons $2.00B (Q3 2026) MEDIUM
PLTR Guide Revenue guidance BETTER guide ~$7.95B vs. cons $7.70B (FY 2026) MEDIUM
PLTR Guide U.S. commercial revenue guidance BETTER guide ~$3.45B vs. cons $3.35B (FY 2026) LOW
PLTR Guide Adjusted operating income guidance BETTER guide ~$4.75B vs. cons $4.62B (FY 2026) LOW
PLTR Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +5.5% LOW
PLTR Return 5-day cumulative residual +7.5% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) The predicted FY 2026 revenue guide of ~$7.95B versus consensus of $7.70B, combined with Q3 guidance of ~$2.12B versus $2.00B, implies roughly $2.30B for Q4 after a ~$1.90B Q2 result—above the approximately $2.26B pre-report consensus embedded in the out-period math. That should drive upward revisions after the initial reaction, although valuation limits confidence. LOW