PNR Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-28

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
PNR Report Q2 2026 Net Sales IN-LINE pred ~$930M vs. cons ~$928M HIGH
PNR Report Q2 2026 Adjusted EPS IN-LINE pred ~$1.12 vs. cons ~$1.11 HIGH
PNR Report Q2 2026 Adjusted Operating Income IN-LINE pred ~$235M vs. cons ~$233M HIGH
PNR Guide FY2026 Sales Growth Guidance UNCHANGED guide ~-5.5% vs. cons ~-5.5% (FY2026) MEDIUM
PNR Guide FY2026 Adjusted EPS Guidance UNCHANGED guide ~$4.70 vs. cons ~$4.70 (FY2026) MEDIUM
PNR Guide FY2026 EBITDA Guidance UNCHANGED guide ~$1,050M vs. cons ~$1,040M (FY2026) MEDIUM
PNR Guide Q3 2026 Pool Destocking/Sell-Through Trajectory Commentary UNKNOWN guide ~ Pool sales decline moderating to roughly -15% to -20% vs. cons expecting a similar ~-18% decline (Q3 2026) LOW
PNR Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +2.5% MEDIUM
PNR Return 5-day cumulative residual +1.0% (STABILIZE) With Q2 actuals and FY26 guidance already fully telegraphed on July 14 (down to specific 'approximately' figures) and Street models already reset to those numbers, there is little room for a fresh beat/miss surprise to drive a durable directional move. An initial relief bounce (confirmation of no further slippage, reaffirmed FY guide, Flow/Water in line) is plausible given the stock's deeply oversold, heavily-discounted-bad-news setup, but out-period math is unchanged — FY26 EPS still implies a mid-teens cut versus the pre-announcement baseline and Pool recovery isn't modeled until 2027 — so estimates aren't likely to move materially either way after the call. Lingering overhangs (interim CFO, securities-litigation inquiries, unresolved Pool sell-in/sell-through gap) cap upside follow-through, while the fact that the worst-case numbers are already in the tape limits further downside, netting out to a rangebound/stabilizing week rather than a strong trend in either direction. LOW