PRU Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-29

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
PRU Report Adjusted Operating EPS (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$3.44 vs. cons $3.38 MEDIUM
PRU Report PGIM AUM / other-related revenue (pre-announced) BEAT pred ~$1.49T AUM vs. cons ~$1.45T HIGH
PRU Report Group Insurance benefits ratio / AOI MISS pred ~85.0% ratio vs. cons ~84.0% LOW
PRU Guide FY2026 Adjusted Operating EPS LOWER guide ~$13.70 vs. cons $13.81 (FY2026) MEDIUM
PRU Guide POJ (Japan) sales-suspension pretax AOI hit UNCHANGED guide ~$550M vs. cons $550M (FY2026 aggregate) HIGH
PRU Guide Effective tax rate guidance BETTER guide ~21.5% vs. cons 22.0% (FY2026) MEDIUM
PRU Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -1.0% MEDIUM
PRU Return 5-day cumulative residual -2.3% (FADE) Stock rallied ~15% into the print on pre-announced actuarial/AUM items, raising the bar; core Q2 beat looks largely pre-digested while the implicit FY2026 EPS trim (Japan cost run-rate building toward the high end of $525-575M guide, alts shortfall, softer Group Insurance) pulls sell-side FY26/27 estimates down even after an in-line-to-modest headline beat, and unless the strategy update delivers concrete new targets/buyback acceleration, initial pop fades as analysts reset numbers over the following days. MEDIUM