PRU Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-29

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
PRU Report Adjusted operating EPS BEAT pred ~$3.58 vs. cons $3.50 MEDIUM
PRU Report PGIM adjusted operating income BEAT pred ~$225m vs. cons $215m MEDIUM
PRU Report International Businesses adjusted operating income MISS pred ~$790m vs. cons $805m LOW
PRU Guide Prudential of Japan pretax AOI drag UNCHANGED guide ~$550m drag vs. cons $550m drag (FY2026) HIGH
PRU Guide Long-term adjusted operating ROE target BETTER guide ~16.5% vs. cons 15.0% (2028) LOW
PRU Guide PGIM adjusted operating margin target BETTER guide ~26% vs. cons 25% (2028) MEDIUM
PRU Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +1.6% LOW
PRU Return 5-day cumulative residual +0.7% (FADE) Residual fades from ~+1.6% on day 1 to ~+0.7% by day 5 because the EPS upside is largely driven by preannounced actuarial items, while an unchanged ~$550m FY2026 Japan drag and gradual 2027 sales recovery limit near-term estimate revisions. LOW