PTC Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-29

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
PTC Report Constant-currency ARR growth excluding divested businesses BEAT pred ~8.8% vs. cons 8.5% MEDIUM
PTC Report Revenue IN-LINE pred ~$620M vs. cons $614M MEDIUM
PTC Report Non-GAAP EPS BEAT pred ~$1.55 vs. cons $1.49 MEDIUM
PTC Guide Net-new ARR BETTER guide ~$82M vs. cons $80M (fiscal Q4 2026) MEDIUM
PTC Guide Constant-currency ARR growth excluding divested businesses BETTER guide ~8.75% midpoint vs. cons 8.7% (fiscal 2026) MEDIUM
PTC Guide Free cash flow UNCHANGED guide ~$850M vs. cons $850M (fiscal 2026) HIGH
PTC Guide Normalized free-cash-flow baseline UNCHANGED guide ~$950M vs. cons $950M (fiscal 2027) MEDIUM
PTC Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +6.0% MEDIUM
PTC Return 5-day cumulative residual +3.0% (FADE) An ARR beat and preserved Q4 step-up should drive an initial relief rally, but an approximately unchanged FY2026/FY2027 cash-flow framework and limited formal out-period upside should constrain estimate revisions and cause part of the day-1 move to fade. MEDIUM