PTC Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-29

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
PTC Report Constant-currency ARR growth ex-divestitures BEAT pred ~8.8% vs. cons 8.6% MEDIUM
PTC Report Net-new ARR BEAT pred ~$53M vs. cons $49M MEDIUM
PTC Report Free cash flow BEAT pred ~$246M vs. cons $243M MEDIUM
PTC Guide FY26 constant-currency ARR growth ex-divestitures UNCHANGED guide ~8.5% vs. cons 8.5% (FY26) MEDIUM
PTC Guide FY26 free cash flow UNCHANGED guide ~$850M vs. cons $850M (FY26) HIGH
PTC Guide FY26 non-GAAP EPS BETTER guide ~$7.85 vs. cons $7.75 (FY26) LOW
PTC Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +3.0% MEDIUM
PTC Return 5-day cumulative residual +2.0% (STABILIZE) A ~8.8% ARR result versus 8.6% consensus and ~$53M net-new ARR versus $49M should support an initial positive reaction, but an FY26 ARR guide of ~8.5% versus 8.5% consensus leaves FY27 out-period ARR math largely unchanged; estimate revisions should be modest after the initial ~3.0% residual move, stabilizing near ~2.0% by day five. MEDIUM