RCL Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-28

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
RCL Report Adjusted EPS (Q2'26) BEAT pred ~$4.10 vs. cons $3.95 MEDIUM
RCL Report Revenue (Q2'26) IN-LINE pred ~$4.85B vs. cons $4.82B MEDIUM
RCL Report Net Yield, const. ccy (Q2'26) BEAT pred ~+1.5% vs. cons/guide ~+0.2% MEDIUM
RCL Guide FY2026 Adjusted EPS guide UNCHANGED guide ~$17.20-17.60 vs. cons $17.40 (FY26); midpoint reaffirmed with fuel offsetting Med recovery MEDIUM
RCL Guide Q3'26 Adjusted EPS guide LOWER guide ~$5.55-5.70 vs. cons $5.75 (Q3'26); ~200bps Europe yield drag + fuel MEDIUM
RCL Guide FY2026 Net Yield, const. ccy UNCHANGED guide ~+1.5-2.5% vs. cons ~+2.0% (FY26); 2H 'smiley-face' relies on Q4 accel MEDIUM
RCL Guide FY2026 NCC ex-fuel, const. ccy BETTER guide ~flat-to-slightly-below vs. cons ~+0.5% (FY26); continued cost beat MEDIUM
RCL Guide Forward booking / 2027 Med commentary BETTER qualitatively better: record book position, 2027 Europe clean vs. cautious cons (FY27 setup) LOW
RCL Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +2.5% MEDIUM
RCL Return 5-day cumulative residual +1.0% (FADE) Q2 beats on EPS/yield/costs and FY midpoint is reaffirmed, driving an initial pop — but the stock rallied ~7% into the print, so expectations are rebuilt. Out-period math is the drag: the depressed Q3 guide (Europe ~200bps yield hit + elevated fuel) and reliance on a Q4 yield 'smiley-face' cap near-term estimate revisions, so early gains partially fade even after a headline beat. MEDIUM