SBUX Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-29

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
SBUX Report U.S. comparable sales growth BEAT pred ~6.8% vs. cons 6.0% MEDIUM
SBUX Report Adjusted EPS BEAT pred ~$0.67 vs. cons $0.65 MEDIUM
SBUX Report Consolidated operating margin IN-LINE pred ~12.4% vs. cons 12.33% MEDIUM
SBUX Guide Adjusted EPS guidance UNCHANGED guide ~$2.40 midpoint vs. cons $2.40 (FY2026) MEDIUM
SBUX Guide Global comparable-sales growth guidance BETTER guide ~5.5% vs. cons 5.4% (FY2026) MEDIUM
SBUX Guide Consolidated operating-margin growth guidance LOWER guide ~+20 bps YoY vs. cons +30 bps YoY (FY2026) LOW
SBUX Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +2.7% MEDIUM
SBUX Return 5-day cumulative residual +0.8% (FADE) Day-5 residual ~+0.8% vs. day-1 ~+2.7%: transaction-led comps and a modest EPS beat support the initial reaction, but unchanged FY2026 EPS guidance and ~10 bps of margin-guide shortfall imply limited Q4/FY2027 estimate upside, causing revisions to lag the headline beat. MEDIUM