SBUX Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-29

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
SBUX Report Global comparable sales growth BEAT pred ~6.8% vs. cons 5.75% MEDIUM
SBUX Report Adjusted operating margin IN-LINE pred ~12.5% vs. cons 12.33% MEDIUM
SBUX Report Adjusted EPS BEAT pred ~$0.67 vs. cons $0.65 MEDIUM
SBUX Guide Global and U.S. comparable-sales outlook UNCHANGED guide ~5.0%+ vs. cons 5.0%+ (FY2026) HIGH
SBUX Guide Adjusted EPS outlook UNCHANGED guide ~$2.25-$2.45 vs. cons $2.38 midpoint (FY2026) MEDIUM
SBUX Guide Consolidated operating-margin outlook UNCHANGED guide ~+0.5% YoY vs. cons +0.5% YoY (FY2026) MEDIUM
SBUX Guide Consolidated revenue outlook UNCHANGED guide ~0.0% YoY vs. cons 0.0% YoY (FY2026) HIGH
SBUX Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +2.5% MEDIUM
SBUX Return 5-day cumulative residual +0.5% (FADE) A ~6.8% comp and ~$0.67 EPS result should produce an initial ~2.5% residual upside versus the S&P 500, but unchanged FY2026 EPS guidance at a ~$2.35 midpoint leaves implied Q4 EPS near ~$0.77 versus an estimated ~$0.80 Street view; out-period revisions should therefore pull the five-day residual toward ~0.5%. MEDIUM