SBUX Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-29

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
SBUX Report Adjusted diluted EPS BEAT pred ~$0.660 vs. cons $0.652 MEDIUM
SBUX Report U.S. comparable sales BEAT pred ~6.20% vs. cons 5.77% MEDIUM
SBUX Report Revenue IN-LINE pred ~$9.250B vs. cons $9.175B MEDIUM
SBUX Guide FY2026 adjusted EPS BETTER guide ~$2.25-$2.45 vs. cons $2.397 MEDIUM
SBUX Guide FY2026 global/U.S. comps UNCHANGED guide ~5% or better vs. cons U.S. 5.28% LOW
SBUX Guide FY2026 consolidated operating margin UNCHANGED guide ~slight YoY growth vs. cons UNVERIFIED LOW
SBUX Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -1.5% LOW
SBUX Return 5-day cumulative residual -2.5% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) FOLLOW-THROUGH — unchanged FY guide leaves an implied Q4 margin/earnings issue LOW