SHW Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-28

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
SHW Report Q2'26 Adjusted diluted EPS IN-LINE pred ~$3.58 vs. cons $3.55 MEDIUM
SHW Report Q2'26 Net sales MISS pred ~$6.50B vs. cons $6.62B MEDIUM
SHW Report Paint Stores Group sales (volume tell) MISS pred ~$3.78B vs. cons $3.85B LOW
SHW Guide FY2026 Adjusted EPS guide UNCHANGED guide ~$11.70 midpoint (reaffirm $11.50-$11.90) vs. cons $11.77 (FY2026) MEDIUM
SHW Guide FY2026 Net sales growth guide UNCHANGED guide ~+3% (low-to-mid single digit) vs. cons ~+4% (FY2026) LOW
SHW Guide FY2026 raw-material inflation / gross-margin commentary UNKNOWN guide ~mid-single-digit inflation vs. prior low-to-mid single digit (FY2026 H2) LOW
SHW Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -1.5% LOW
SHW Return 5-day cumulative residual -3.0% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) EPS lands roughly in-line while revenue/volumes stay soft and management merely reaffirms an FY guide whose $11.70 midpoint sits below the $11.77 consensus. With propylene/raw-material inflation ramping into H2 and PSG volumes still weak, the reaffirm is implicitly a cut versus where the Street sits; out-period estimates drift lower and the ~5% pre-print bounce (July 23 $310.5 to $327.3) unwinds, so the modest day-1 downside follows through rather than reverses. LOW